The rupee witnessed a range-bound trade and strengthened marginally by 4 paise to 84 (provisional) against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday (October 16, 2024) as easing crude oil prices supported investor sentiments.
| Photo Credit: Reuters

The rupee witnessed a range-bound trade and strengthened marginally by 4 paise to 84 (provisional) against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday (October 16, 2024) as easing crude oil prices supported investor sentiments.

Forex traders said the rupee traded in a narrow range as a strong dollar and a muted tone in the domestic equities weighed on the local unit, while weak crude oil prices and any likely intervention by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) supported the local currency at lower levels.

At the interbank foreign exchange market, the local unit opened at 84.03 and traded in a narrow range of 83.98 and 84.07 and finally settled for the day at 84.00 (provisional), higher by 4 paisa over its previous close of 84.04 against the dollar.

“The local currency pair was weighed down by significant foreign fund outflows this month amid strength of the American currency in the overseas market which surged to a two-month high of 103.25.

“Overall Foreign Institutional Investors offloading $8 billion in October also weighed on sentiments for rupee in the current month,” said Maneesh Sharma, AVP – Commodities & Currencies, Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers.

Analysts said investors are awaiting the U.S. retail sales and jobless claims reports, due on Thursday (October 17, 2024), for cues on the future path of U.S. policy rates which could provide crucial direction to dollar, while likely intervention by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) could also support the local currency pair at lower levels.

Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback’s strength against a basket of six currencies, was marginally down by 0.01% to 103.25 points.

Brent crude, the international benchmark, eased 0.31% to $74.02 per barrel in futures trade amid easing concerns about supply disruptions due to the Middle East conflict.

In the domestic equity market, the 30-share BSE Sensex declined 318.76 points, or 0.39%, to close at 81,501.36 points, while the Nifty was down 86.05 points, or 0.34%, to 24,971.30 points.

Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) were net sellers in the capital markets on Tuesday (October 15, 2024), as they offloaded shares worth ₹1,748.71 crore, according to exchange data.

The rupee witnessed range-bound trade and depreciated 3 paise to 84.07 against the U.S. dollar in initial deals. FIle
| Photo Credit: Reuters

The rupee witnessed range-bound trade and depreciated 3 paise to 84.07 against the U.S. dollar in initial deals on Wednesday (October 16, 2024), weighed down by significant foreign fund outflows and the strength of the American currency in the overseas market.

Forex traders said the rupee is likely to trade in a narrow range during the day as strong dollar and a muted tone in the domestic equities weighed on the local unit, while weak crude oil prices and any intervention by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) may also support the local currency at lower levels.

At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 84.03 against the greenback. In the initial trade, it touched 84.07, registering a fall of 3 paise over its previous close.

On Tuesday (October 15, 2024), the rupee witnessed a range-bound trade and appreciated 1 paisa to 84.04 against the U.S. dollar.

Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback’s strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading 0.06% lower at 103.19.

According to traders, the rupee remains under intense pressure, mainly due to Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) offloading approximately $8 billion in October.

“The sell-off stems from profit-booking by FIIs, as Indian equities, after months of inflows totalling $25 billion, are now seen as overvalued. Adding to the pressure is the strengthening dollar index, which has surged to a two-month high of 103.25,” CR Forex Advisors MD Amit Pabari said.

Mr. Pabari further noted that despite these headwinds, the rupee’s downside seems limited, with the RBI ready to intervene if necessary.

“Globally, oil prices have dropped by 5% due to weaker demand forecasts and reports that Israel is unlikely to target Iranian oil assets, easing supply concerns,” he said.

Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, rose marginally by 0.26% cent to $74.44 per barrel in futures trade.

On the domestic equity market front, Sensex advanced 40.90 points, or 0.05%, to 81,861.02 points. The Nifty rose 11.45 points, or 0.05%, to 25,068.80 points.

Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were net sellers in the capital markets on Tuesday (October 15, 2024), as they offloaded shares worth ₹1,748.71 crore, according to exchange data.